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2024-12-14 00:41:52

Although the birth promotion policy is a new content in the economic conference, in the long run, it has a great potential impact on maternal and child, education, medical care and other related industries. However, in the short term, the direct pull on the stock market may be relatively limited.Pre-judgment on Friday: Open low and walk high, walk slowly.


Although the FTSE A50 index plunged by nearly 1% after the news came out, this does not necessarily mean that the market is pessimistic. Just as the market performance may not be good the next day when A50 surged, the market expectation often differs from the actual trend. The content of this meeting is positive to the market as a whole. The market may have expected some policies in the early stage, and it is normal for profit-taking or short-term adjustment to occur after the news landed. From the overall policy orientation, both the positive macro policies and the layout of consumption, investment, science and technology have laid the foundation for the stability and upward movement of the stock market.In terms of fiscal policy, increasing the fiscal deficit ratio and increasing the amount of special national debt and special debt will inject more funds into the market. These funds will flow to infrastructure construction, people's livelihood security and other fields. On the one hand, it will drive the development of the real economy, and on the other hand, it will improve market expectations to a certain extent. More capital flows in the market, which is conducive to the improvement of the financing environment of enterprises and is a positive signal for the overall capital of the stock market.


Pre-judgment on Friday: Open low and walk high, walk slowly.For Friday's A-share market, it is possible to go low and go high. On the one hand, some investors may panic at the opening because of the FTSE A50 diving, which leads to a lower opening. On the other hand, with the market's in-depth interpretation and digestion of the contents of the Central Economic Work Conference, the influence of active policies will gradually emerge. In the long run, with the promotion of policies, various industries will gradually adjust and develop. Although the overall index will fluctuate in the short term, the upward trend is still relatively stable. As long as the macroeconomic environment continues to improve and corporate profits gradually improve, the stock market is expected to move forward steadily under the spring breeze of policies. Investors need not worry too much about short-term fluctuations, but should pay more attention to the structural opportunities of various industries in the process of policy implementation.Judging from the contents of the meeting, the implementation of more active and promising macro policies to stabilize the property market and stock market is aimed at stabilizing asset prices and providing confidence support for the market. A positive macro policy often means a reasonable abundance of liquidity and care for market stability at the policy level. In the current complex economic situation, stabilizing the property market and the stock market plays an important role in preventing systemic financial risks and promoting the stable growth of residents' wealth.

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